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Monday, October 5, 2026 · UTC
Asteroids & Planetary Defense

Belgium, Northern Ireland 2 Oct outcome markets resolve at 100% on Polymarket

Eight national win markets settled 2026-10-02, with six closing near 0%.

Caleb Mbeki
Planetary Science Reporter
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Stands on 8 first-party readings of the Polymarket record, not reporting.
Markets settle for national outcomes
Markets settle for national outcomes AI illustrationhow this picture was made
Polymarket data shows eight national outcome markets dated 2026-10-02 resolved on that date. Only the markets for Belgium and Northern Ireland settled near 100%. The Belgium market recorded $5.01M of total volume. The Northern Ireland market recorded $156,009 of volume. All six remaining listed markets settled near 0%. Those markets recorded volumes of $257,559 for Ukraine, $296,141 for Türkiye, $427,080 for Italy, $1.13M for France, $253,711 for Sweden and $149,891 for Bosnia and Herzegovina.
Proof8 sources · 1 publisher · signed
What this stands on
  1. On Polymarket, the market "Will Northern Ireland win on 2026-10-02?" resolved on 2026-10-02, settling near 100% on $156,009 of volume. · DRM3 Polymarket the fact record
  2. On Polymarket, the market "Will Ukraine win on 2026-10-02?" resolved on 2026-10-02, settling near 0% on $257,559 of volume. · DRM3 Polymarket the fact record
  3. On Polymarket, the market "Will Türkiye win on 2026-10-02?" resolved on 2026-10-02, settling near 0% on $296,141 of volume. · DRM3 Polymarket the fact record
  4. On Polymarket, the market "Will Belgium win on 2026-10-02?" resolved on 2026-10-02, settling near 100% on $5,007,125 of volume. · DRM3 Polymarket the fact record
  5. On Polymarket, the market "Will Italy win on 2026-10-02?" resolved on 2026-10-02, settling near 0% on $427,080 of volume. · DRM3 Polymarket the fact record
  6. On Polymarket, the market "Will France win on 2026-10-02?" resolved on 2026-10-02, settling near 0% on $1,134,290 of volume. · DRM3 Polymarket the fact record
  7. On Polymarket, the market "Will Sweden win on 2026-10-02?" resolved on 2026-10-02, settling near 0% on $253,711 of volume. · DRM3 Polymarket the fact record
  8. On Polymarket, the market "Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-10-02?" resolved on 2026-10-02, settling near 0% on $149,891 of volume. · DRM3 Polymarket the fact record
Read directly from the Polymarket record, not from anyone's report of it.