Space Luisa Fernanda
Space, astronomy, rockets and the physics of it all.
Tuesday, September 29, 2026 · UTC
Asteroids & Planetary Defense

MrBeast video odds surge to 92% on week-one view count

Polymarket data shows betting probability jumped 16 points on 2026-09-26 as the market favored the 70 to 80 million view range.

Caleb Mbeki
Planetary Science Reporter
Share on X
Stands on 8 first-party readings of the Polymarket record, not reporting.
Traders react to surge in betting odds on MrBeast video views
Traders react to surge in betting odds on MrBeast video views AI illustrationhow this picture was made
Polymarket data shows the probability that MrBeast's next video will receive between 70 and 80 million views in its first week rose to 92% on 2026-09-26. The market moved from 76% to 92%, a 16-point increase driven by $79,801 in trading volume. [1] That shift came as the probability for the 60 to 70 million view range fell to 9% from 27% on the same day. That adjacent market saw a 18-point drop on $77,256 of volume. [2] On 2026-09-26, several other markets resolved with certainty. Polymarket data shows the market for CF Monterrey winning on 2026-09-25 settled near 0% on $179,021 of volume. [3] Polymarket data shows Atlante FC winning on 2026-09-25 settled near 100% on $89,344 of volume. [4] Polymarket data shows Suriname winning on 2026-09-25 settled near 100% on $54,721 of volume. [5] Polymarket data shows Honduras winning on 2026-09-25 settled near 0% on $63,893 of volume. [6] Polymarket data shows Guatemala winning on 2026-09-25 settled near 0% on $119,332 of volume. [7] Polymarket data shows Jamaica winning on 2026-09-25 settled near 100% on $142,593 of volume. [8]
Proof8 sources · 1 publisher · signed
What this stands on
  1. On Polymarket, the market "Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?" moved from 76% to 92% on 2026-09-26, a 16-point rise on $79,801 of volume. · DRM3 Polymarket the fact record
  2. On Polymarket, the market "Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?" moved from 27% to 9% on 2026-09-26, a 18-point fall on $77,256 of volume. · DRM3 Polymarket the fact record
  3. On Polymarket, the market "Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-09-25?" resolved on 2026-09-26, settling near 0% on $179,021 of volume. · DRM3 Polymarket the fact record
  4. On Polymarket, the market "Will Atlante FC win on 2026-09-25?" resolved on 2026-09-26, settling near 100% on $89,344 of volume. · DRM3 Polymarket the fact record
  5. On Polymarket, the market "Will Suriname win on 2026-09-25?" resolved on 2026-09-26, settling near 100% on $54,721 of volume. · DRM3 Polymarket the fact record
  6. On Polymarket, the market "Will Honduras win on 2026-09-25?" resolved on 2026-09-26, settling near 0% on $63,893 of volume. · DRM3 Polymarket the fact record
  7. On Polymarket, the market "Will Guatemala win on 2026-09-25?" resolved on 2026-09-26, settling near 0% on $119,332 of volume. · DRM3 Polymarket the fact record
  8. On Polymarket, the market "Will Jamaica win on 2026-09-25?" resolved on 2026-09-26, settling near 100% on $142,593 of volume. · DRM3 Polymarket the fact record
Read directly from the Polymarket record, not from anyone's report of it.