Stands on 8 first-party readings of the Polymarket record, not reporting.
Crypto market takes a hit as Bitcoin odds fall AI illustrationhow this picture was madeSix active Polymarket markets resolved on 25 September 2026, while odds for Bitcoin crossing key price thresholds fell sharply the same day.
Polymarket data shows the settled markets covered sports outcomes, box office performance, public tweet counts and a prior Bitcoin price threshold. Total traded volume across the six resolved markets totalled $779,990. One market settled near 100%, the remaining five settled at 2% or lower. [1][2][3][4][5][6]
Two open markets tracking Bitcoin price levels also moved on the same date. Odds for Bitcoin closing above $84,000 on 26 September fell 31 points to 33%. Odds for the same threshold on 27 September fell 24 points to 39%. [7][8]Seis mercados activos de Polymarket se resolvieron el 25 de septiembre de 2026. Ese mismo día, las probabilidades de que Bitcoin supere umbrales de precio clave registraron una caída pronunciada.
Datos de Polymarket indican que los mercados cerrados correspondieron a resultados deportivos, rendimiento de taquilla, recuento de tuits públicos y un umbral previo del precio de Bitcoin. El volumen total negociado en los seis mercados resueltos ascendió a $779,990. Un mercado se cerró cerca del 100 %, mientras que los cinco restantes lo hicieron al 2 % o inferior. [1][2][3][4][5][6]
Dos mercados abiertos que siguen los niveles de precio de Bitcoin también registraron movimientos en la misma fecha. La probabilidad de que Bitcoin cierre por encima de los $84,000 el 26 de septiembre cayó 31 puntos hasta el 33 %. La probabilidad para ese mismo umbral el 27 de septiembre cayó 24 puntos hasta el 39 %. [7][8]
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What this stands on
On Polymarket, the market "Will Armenia win on 2026-09-25?" resolved on 2026-09-25, settling near 100% on $144,790 of volume. · DRM3 Polymarket the fact record↗
On Polymarket, the market "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 26?" resolved on 2026-09-25, settling near 2% on $57,236 of volume. · DRM3 Polymarket the fact record↗
On Polymarket, the market "Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 22m?" resolved on 2026-09-25, settling near 2% on $52,674 of volume. · DRM3 Polymarket the fact record↗
On Polymarket, the market "Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?" resolved on 2026-09-25, settling near 0% on $296,394 of volume. · DRM3 Polymarket the fact record↗
On Polymarket, the market "Will Panama win on 2026-09-25?" resolved on 2026-09-25, settling near 0% on $172,373 of volume. · DRM3 Polymarket the fact record↗
On Polymarket, the market "Will India win on 2026-09-25?" resolved on 2026-09-25, settling near 0% on $56,523 of volume. · DRM3 Polymarket the fact record↗
On Polymarket, the market "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 27?" moved from 63% to 39% on 2026-09-25, a 24-point fall on $22,442 of volume. · DRM3 Polymarket the fact record↗
On Polymarket, the market "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 26?" moved from 64% to 33% on 2026-09-25, a 31-point fall on $57,009 of volume. · DRM3 Polymarket the fact record↗
Read directly from the Polymarket record, not from anyone's report of it.