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Tuesday, October 13, 2026 · UTC
Asteroids & Planetary Defense

Eight Polymarket prediction markets resolved 9 October 2026

All listed markets settled on 2026-10-09, with final values at the extremes of the 0-100% range.

Caleb Mbeki
Planetary Science Reporter
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Stands on 8 first-party readings of the Polymarket record, not reporting.
Traded volume tops $893,000 in resolved markets
Traded volume tops $893,000 in resolved markets AI illustrationhow this picture was made
Polymarket data shows eight separate prediction markets resolved on 2026-10-09. No market settled to an intermediate value. Three markets tracking Elon Musk tweet volumes over different windows settled at 1% or lower. [1] [2] [3] The market for Bitcoin closing above $80,000 on 10 October settled near 99%. [4] The market for Donald Trump speaking to Vladimir Putin by 31 October settled near 100%. [5] Three football match markets also resolved. Sporting CP settled near 100% on $229,983 of traded volume. [6] SC Braga and Queens Park Rangers FC both settled near 0%. [7] [8] Total traded volume across all eight resolved markets was $893,450 by this paper's arithmetic.
Proof8 sources · 1 publisher · signed
What this stands on
  1. On Polymarket, the market "Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?" resolved on 2026-10-09, settling near 0% on $63,319 of volume. · DRM3 Polymarket the fact record
  2. On Polymarket, the market "Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?" resolved on 2026-10-09, settling near 1% on $75,093 of volume. · DRM3 Polymarket the fact record
  3. On Polymarket, the market "Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?" resolved on 2026-10-09, settling near 1% on $97,555 of volume. · DRM3 Polymarket the fact record
  4. On Polymarket, the market "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 10?" resolved on 2026-10-09, settling near 99% on $64,462 of volume. · DRM3 Polymarket the fact record
  5. On Polymarket, the market "Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin by October 31?" resolved on 2026-10-09, settling near 100% on $60,068 of volume. · DRM3 Polymarket the fact record
  6. On Polymarket, the market "Will Sporting CP win on 2026-10-09?" resolved on 2026-10-09, settling near 100% on $229,983 of volume. · DRM3 Polymarket the fact record
  7. On Polymarket, the market "Will SC Braga win on 2026-10-09?" resolved on 2026-10-09, settling near 0% on $144,127 of volume. · DRM3 Polymarket the fact record
  8. On Polymarket, the market "Will Queens Park Rangers FC win on 2026-10-09?" resolved on 2026-10-09, settling near 0% on $158,843 of volume. · DRM3 Polymarket the fact record
Read directly from the Polymarket record, not from anyone's report of it.