Three Polymarket prediction markets resolved 2026-10-03 with $461k combined volume

Settlements posted Saturday covered a sports result and two brackets for Elon Musk's tweet count over the first three days of October.

Caleb Mbeki

Planetary Science Reporter

Stands on 3 first-party readings of the Polymarket record, not reporting.

Traders settle prediction markets with nearly half million dollars in volume AI illustrationhow this picture was made

Three prediction markets on Polymarket reached final settlement on 2026-10-03, with combined traded volume across the three contracts totalling $461,361. Polymarket data shows the market asking 'Will Iceland win on 2026-10-03?' settled near 100% on $213,700 of volume.^[1] Two markets tracking Elon Musk's public tweet output over 1 October to 3 October also resolved. The bracket for 90 to 114 tweets settled near 0% on $142,883 volume.^[2] The bracket for 65 to 89 tweets settled near 100% on $104,778 volume.^[3]

Proof3 sources · 1 publisher · signed

What this stands on

On Polymarket, the market "Will Iceland win on 2026-10-03?" resolved on 2026-10-03, settling near 100% on $213,700 of volume. · DRM3 Polymarket the fact record
On Polymarket, the market "Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?" resolved on 2026-10-03, settling near 0% on $142,883 of volume. · DRM3 Polymarket the fact record
On Polymarket, the market "Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?" resolved on 2026-10-03, settling near 100% on $104,778 of volume. · DRM3 Polymarket the fact record

Read directly from the Polymarket record, not from anyone's report of it.