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Tuesday, October 13, 2026 · UTC
Asteroids & Planetary Defense

Eight Polymarket markets shift or settle on 10 October 2026 with moves up to 24 points

Trading occurred across sports, geopolitical and box office prediction contracts on the date.

Planetary Science Reporter
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Stands on 8 first-party readings of the Polymarket record, not reporting.
Trading floor reacts to market shifts
Trading floor reacts to market shifts AI illustrationhow this picture was made
Polymarket data shows eight prediction markets recorded material moves or final resolutions on 2026-10-10. Moves ranged from a 24 point rise on the contract for Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen, to a 23 point fall on the upper bound opening weekend box office contract for The Social Reckoning. The largest single volume traded on the day was $621,130 on the Arsenal FC match outcome contract, which fell 23 points to 47%. Two football match markets settled at 100%, one settled at 0%.
Proof8 sources · 1 publisher · signed
Background reading
  1. On Polymarket, the market "Will Júbilo Iwata win on 2026-10-10?" resolved on 2026-10-10, settling near 100% on $51,605 of volume. · DRM3 Polymarket the fact record
  2. On Polymarket, the market "Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 6?" moved from 46% to 69% on 2026-10-10, a 24-point rise on $55,124 of volume. · DRM3 Polymarket the fact record
  3. On Polymarket, the market "Will "The Social Reckoning" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 7m?" moved from 47% to 24% on 2026-10-10, a 23-point fall on $15,560 of volume. · DRM3 Polymarket the fact record
  4. On Polymarket, the market "Will "The Social Reckoning" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 5m?" moved from 54% to 77% on 2026-10-10, a 23-point rise on $17,212 of volume. · DRM3 Polymarket the fact record
  5. On Polymarket, the market "Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-10?" moved from 70% to 47% on 2026-10-10, a 23-point fall on $621,130 of volume. · DRM3 Polymarket the fact record
  6. On Polymarket, the market "Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa by October 31?" moved from 32% to 51% on 2026-10-10, a 19-point rise on $54,003 of volume. · DRM3 Polymarket the fact record
  7. On Polymarket, the market "Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-10-09?" resolved on 2026-10-10, settling near 0% on $99,309 of volume. · DRM3 Polymarket the fact record
  8. On Polymarket, the market "Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-10-09?" resolved on 2026-10-10, settling near 100% on $68,268 of volume. · DRM3 Polymarket the fact record
Read directly from the Polymarket record, not from anyone's report of it.